Group Ecompleted

Ecuador vs Germany

Official FIFA fixture packet for Group E with ranking snapshots for both named teams.

San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara) · Jun 17, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC

Result: 2-1

EcuadorTBD

Ranking points TBD

Official FIFA ranking snapshot is attached when the participating team is already known.

Official schedule fixture only. Injuries, suspensions, and projected lineups are not in the public packet yet.

FIFA ranking source
GermanyTBD

Ranking points TBD

Official FIFA ranking snapshot is attached when the participating team is already known.

Official schedule fixture only. Injuries, suspensions, and projected lineups are not in the public packet yet.

FIFA ranking source

Current data coverage

  • Schedule date and host venue come from the official FIFA 2026 match schedule article.
  • Kickoff time, local time zone, and host city are merged from the public OpenFootball World Cup 2026 dataset.
  • Recent form, head-to-head, and World Cup history come from public international results history.
  • Squad and projected XI fields use public squad pages where available; projected XI is a conservative baseline, not an official lineup.

Match context

San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

2026-06-16 21:00 UTC-7

Matchday 6

Recent form

Ecuador: 4W-4D-2L · 11-7 goals · 10 matches

Germany: 8W-1D-1L · 31-10 goals · 10 matches

Head-to-head

1-0-2 over 3 public meetings

Squad profile

Ecuador: 0 players

Germany: 0 players

Projected XI baseline

Ecuador: Projected XI baseline unavailable.

Germany: Projected XI baseline unavailable.

Lineups

Projected lineup player cards

Sourced from the SportMonks lineup fields in the match packet; before kickoff this is a projected baseline, not the final official XI.

Ecuador

4-4-2
  1. 1Hernán GalíndezGK
  2. 21Alan FrancoDF
  3. 4Joel OrdóñezDF
  4. 6Willian PachoDF
  5. 3Piero HincapiéDF
  6. 9John YeboahMF
  7. 23Moisés CaicedoMF
  8. 15Pedro ViteMF
  9. 20Nilson AnguloMF
  10. 19Gonzalo PlataFW
  11. 13Enner ValenciaFW
  12. 2Félix TorresPOS
  13. 5Jordy AlcívarPOS
  14. 7Pervis EstupiñánPOS
  15. 8Anthony ValenciaPOS
  16. 10Kendry PáezPOS
  17. 11Kevin RodríguezPOS
  18. 12Moisés RamírezPOS
  19. 14Alan MindaPOS
  20. 16Jordy CaicedoPOS
  21. 17Angelo PreciadoPOS
  22. 18Denil CastilloPOS
  23. 22Gonzalo VallePOS
  24. 24Jeremy ArévaloPOS
  25. 25Jackson PorozoPOS
  26. 26Yaimar MedinaPOS

Germany

3-4-2-1
  1. 1Manuel NeuerGK
  2. 6Joshua KimmichDF
  3. 4Jonathan TahDF
  4. 2Antonio RüdigerDF
  5. 19Leroy SanéMF
  6. 23Felix NmechaMF
  7. 5Aleksandar PavlovicMF
  8. 22David RaumMF
  9. 10Jamal MusialaMF
  10. 17Florian WirtzMF
  11. 7Kai HavertzFW
  12. 3Waldemar AntonPOS
  13. 8Leon GoretzkaPOS
  14. 9Jamie LewelingPOS
  15. 11Nick WoltemadePOS
  16. 12Oliver BaumannPOS
  17. 13Pascal GroßPOS
  18. 14Maximilian BeierPOS
  19. 16Angelo StillerPOS
  20. 20Nadiem AmiriPOS
  21. 21Alexander NübelPOS
  22. 24Malick ThiawPOS
  23. 25Assan OuédraogoPOS
  24. 26Deniz UndavPOS

Shared prompt

You are evaluating a FIFA World Cup 2026 match using the same public match packet as every model. Match: Ecuador vs Germany. Use the official FIFA ranking snapshot, OpenFootball kickoff and venue context, recent form, World Cup history, head-to-head history, public squad profile, availability summary, and the low-confidence projected XI baseline included in the packet. Return win/draw/loss probabilities, three predicted scorelines sorted by descending probability, key reasoning, and confidence. Keep predicted_score equal to the highest-probability scoreline candidate for scoring compatibility. Do not use private odds, hidden scouting data, or rumor-only injury reports.

Model predictions

Every model uses the same public match packet.

View leaderboard
ModelOutcomeProbabilitiesScorelineReasonTotal
GPT-5.4
OpenAI		homeH 38% · D 26% · A 36%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.76
Claude Sonnet 4.5
Anthropic		awayH 33% · D 28% · A 39%1-2

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.20
Gemini 3 Pro
Google		awayH 34% · D 27% · A 39%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.25
Qwen 3.5 Plus
Alibaba Cloud		homeH 38% · D 27% · A 35%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.76
DeepSeek V4
DeepSeek		homeH 39% · D 28% · A 33%2-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.82
Grok 4
xAI		homeH 41% · D 27% · A 32%2-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.82
Kimi K3
Moonshot AI		homeH 40% · D 28% · A 32%2-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.82
GLM-5
Z.AI		awayH 34% · D 28% · A 38%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.25

Public sources