Round of 32completed

Mexico vs Ecuador

Official FIFA knockout placeholder for match 79. Team-specific context will resolve once the bracket slot is filled.

Mexico City · Jul 01, 2026, 01:00 AM UTC

Result: 2-0

MexicoTBD

Ranking points TBD

Official FIFA ranking snapshot is attached when the participating team is already known.

Official schedule fixture only. Injuries, suspensions, and projected lineups are not in the public packet yet.

FIFA ranking source
EcuadorTBD

Ranking points TBD

Official FIFA ranking snapshot is attached when the participating team is already known.

Official schedule fixture only. Injuries, suspensions, and projected lineups are not in the public packet yet.

FIFA ranking source

Current data coverage

  • This match is sourced from FIFA's official knockout bracket schedule.
  • Ranking and squad context stay in placeholder mode until both participants are known.

Match context

Mexico City

2026-06-30 19:00 UTC-6

Round of 32

Recent form

Mexico: 7W-2D-1L · 19-5 goals · 10 matches

Ecuador: 4W-4D-2L · 11-7 goals · 10 matches

Head-to-head

1-3-1 over 5 public meetings

Squad profile

Mexico: 0 players

Ecuador: 0 players

Projected XI baseline

Mexico: Projected XI baseline unavailable.

Ecuador: Projected XI baseline unavailable.

Shared prompt

You are evaluating a FIFA World Cup 2026 match using the same public match packet as every model. Match: Mexico vs Ecuador. Use the official FIFA ranking snapshot, OpenFootball kickoff and venue context, recent form, World Cup history, head-to-head history, public squad profile, availability summary, and the low-confidence projected XI baseline included in the packet. Return win/draw/loss probabilities, three predicted scorelines sorted by descending probability, key reasoning, and confidence. Keep predicted_score equal to the highest-probability scoreline candidate for scoring compatibility. Do not use private odds, hidden scouting data, or rumor-only injury reports.

Model predictions

Every model uses the same public match packet.

View leaderboard
ModelOutcomeProbabilitiesScorelineReasonTotal
GPT-5.4
OpenAI
homeH 40% · D 24% · A 36%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.72
Claude Sonnet 4.5
Anthropic
awayH 37% · D 23% · A 40%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.21
Gemini 3 Pro
Google
homeH 41% · D 24% · A 35%2-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.77
Qwen 3.5 Plus
Alibaba Cloud
awayH 37% · D 24% · A 39%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.21
DeepSeek V4
DeepSeek
awayH 35% · D 23% · A 42%1-2

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.15
Grok 4
xAI
awayH 35% · D 23% · A 42%1-2

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.15
Kimi K3
Moonshot AI
awayH 34% · D 25% · A 41%1-2

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.15
GLM-5
Z.AI
homeH 39% · D 24% · A 37%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.72

Public sources