Group Dcompleted

United States vs Australia

Official FIFA fixture packet for Group D with ranking snapshots for both named teams.

Monterrey (Guadalupe) · Jun 15, 2026, 02:00 AM UTC

Result: 2-0

United StatesTBD

Ranking points TBD

Official FIFA ranking snapshot is attached when the participating team is already known.

Official schedule fixture only. Injuries, suspensions, and projected lineups are not in the public packet yet.

FIFA ranking source
AustraliaTBD

Ranking points TBD

Official FIFA ranking snapshot is attached when the participating team is already known.

Official schedule fixture only. Injuries, suspensions, and projected lineups are not in the public packet yet.

FIFA ranking source

Current data coverage

  • Schedule date and host venue come from the official FIFA 2026 match schedule article.
  • Kickoff time, local time zone, and host city are merged from the public OpenFootball World Cup 2026 dataset.
  • Recent form, head-to-head, and World Cup history come from public international results history.
  • Squad and projected XI fields use public squad pages where available; projected XI is a conservative baseline, not an official lineup.

Match context

Monterrey (Guadalupe)

2026-06-14 20:00 UTC-6

Matchday 4

Recent form

United States: 5W-0D-5L · 22-20 goals · 10 matches

Australia: 3W-3D-4L · 10-10 goals · 10 matches

Head-to-head

3-1-1 over 5 public meetings

Squad profile

United States: 0 players

Australia: 0 players

Projected XI baseline

United States: Projected XI baseline unavailable.

Australia: Projected XI baseline unavailable.

Lineups

Projected lineup player cards

Sourced from the SportMonks lineup fields in the match packet; before kickoff this is a projected baseline, not the final official XI.

United States

3-5-2
  1. 24Matt FreeseGK
  2. 16Alex FreemanDF
  3. 3Chris RichardsDF
  4. 13Tim ReamDF
  5. 2Sergiño DestMF
  6. 8Weston McKennieMF
  7. 4Tyler AdamsMF
  8. 17Malik TillmanMF
  9. 5Antonee RobinsonMF
  10. 20Folarin BalogunFW
  11. 9Ricardo PepiFW
  12. 1Matt TurnerPOS
  13. 6Auston TrustyPOS
  14. 7Giovanni ReynaPOS
  15. 11Brenden AaronsonPOS
  16. 12Miles RobinsonPOS
  17. 14Sebastian BerhalterPOS
  18. 15Cristian RoldánPOS
  19. 18Max ArfstenPOS
  20. 19Haji WrightPOS
  21. 21Timothy WeahPOS
  22. 22Mark McKenziePOS
  23. 23Joe ScallyPOS
  24. 25Chris BradyPOS
  25. 26Álex ZendejasPOS

Australia

5-4-1
  1. 18Patrick BeachGK
  2. 4Jacob ItalianoDF
  3. 3Alessandro CircatiDF
  4. 19Harry SouttarDF
  5. 21Cameron BurgessDF
  6. 5Jordan BosDF
  7. 7Mathew LeckieMF
  8. 13Aiden O'NeillMF
  9. 24Paul Okon-EngstlerMF
  10. 23Nishan VelupillayMF
  11. 9Mohamed TouréFW
  12. 1Mathew RyanPOS
  13. 2Milos DegenekPOS
  14. 6Jason GeriaPOS
  15. 8Connor MetcalfePOS
  16. 10Ajdin HrusticPOS
  17. 11Awer MabilPOS
  18. 12Paul IzzoPOS
  19. 14Cammy DevlinPOS
  20. 15Kai TrewinPOS
  21. 16Aziz BehichPOS
  22. 17Nestory IrankundaPOS
  23. 20Cristian VolpatoPOS
  24. 22Jackson IrvinePOS
  25. 25Lucas HerringtonPOS
  26. 26Tete YengiPOS

Shared prompt

You are evaluating a FIFA World Cup 2026 match using the same public match packet as every model. Match: United States vs Australia. Use the official FIFA ranking snapshot, OpenFootball kickoff and venue context, recent form, World Cup history, head-to-head history, public squad profile, availability summary, and the low-confidence projected XI baseline included in the packet. Return win/draw/loss probabilities, three predicted scorelines sorted by descending probability, key reasoning, and confidence. Keep predicted_score equal to the highest-probability scoreline candidate for scoring compatibility. Do not use private odds, hidden scouting data, or rumor-only injury reports.

Model predictions

Every model uses the same public match packet.

View leaderboard
ModelOutcomeProbabilitiesScorelineReasonTotal
GPT-5.4
OpenAI
homeH 39% · D 27% · A 34%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.72
Claude Sonnet 4.5
Anthropic
awayH 33% · D 28% · A 39%1-2

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.15
Gemini 3 Pro
Google
homeH 38% · D 27% · A 35%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.71
Qwen 3.5 Plus
Alibaba Cloud
awayH 35% · D 26% · A 39%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.20
DeepSeek V4
DeepSeek
homeH 40% · D 26% · A 34%2-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.77
Grok 4
xAI
homeH 37% · D 27% · A 36%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.71
Kimi K3
Moonshot AI
awayH 33% · D 28% · A 39%1-2

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.15
GLM-5
Z.AI
homeH 38% · D 28% · A 34%1-1

This bracket slot is unresolved, so the prediction stays centered on generic knockout priors instead of team-specific scouting.

0.71

Public sources